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If you’re following The Bachelor Spoilers, you already have a pretty good idea of how this season will end.

Well, Jef Holm — former winner of The Bachelorette and former friend of Arie Luyendyk Jr. — thinks that he knows how the off-camera relationship between Arie and the winner will end. Or, at least, when it will win.

His prediction isn’t exactly flattering towards his former buddy. But Jef is willing to bed $5,000 that he’s right.

Jef Holm won season 8 of The Bachelorette, but that doesn’t exactly make him an expert on love.

As Arie’s former friend, though, he might be something of an expert on this season of The Bachelor‘s leading man.

Jef Holm doesn’t seem to believe that Arie and the woman Arie chooses will last very long.

And he’s putting his money where his mouth is, tweeting:

“Doesn’t matter who gets out of the limo…I’ll give 5k to the charity of @chrisbharrison’s choice if @ariejr lasts 1 year with anyone”


That does not paint a flattering picture. But is Jef Holm taking aim more at The Bachelor as a franchise, or targeting Arie?

Our impression is that this is about Arie — and that it’s personal.

Jef and Arie were great buds, but, as you may recall, Jef says that he broke off his friendship with Arie, claiming that the other man was “disgusting.”

It’s easy for most men to hide their worst aspects and habits during courtship — especially when money and fame are involved.

But it sounds like Jef Holm believes that Arie won’t be able to hide his true, “disgusting” self for long once the cameras go away.

Jeff Holm  shared this tweet during the season premiere of The Bachelor.

Probably so that more members of the Bachelor Nation would see it.

By the end of the episode, Arie had already said goodbye to eight women.

But a whopping 21 remain, still vying for Arie’s heart. Or, at least, for his ring.

Do you agree with Jef Holm? Or might Arie find a relationship that could really last?

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Here’s the thing about shows like The Bachelor:

You definitely do get some bubbly idealists who are absolutely hopeless romantics and want to find true love.

But … you also get some contestants who are just there to be on camera and grow their brands and, possibly, launch other reality opportunities.

Since it’s widely believed that Arie Luyendyk Jr. might be there for just such reasons … what happens if he and an equally fame-hungry contestant end up together?

They might not break up for normal relationship reasons. Not if they have more to gain remaining a couple and, potentially, getting their own show together.

Arie on The Bachelor

Now, that’s admittedly a lot of speculation.

If Arie’s here for fame purposes and not because he wants to find love. If he ends up with a like-minded, branding-oriented woman who doesn’t care how “disgusting” he is off camera.

Perhaps Arie will land a love-struck contestant who wears her heart on her sleeve, and they’ll grow apart over time as reality sets in.

Or not.

Not for nothing, but Arie Luyendyk Jr. is reportedly “the best” at sex. Sometimes, that can keep a relationship together for months after it should have ended.

Regardless, Jef Holm is taking a bit of a risk. He must really, really have a low opinion of Arie, huh?