Dancing with the Stars Season 25 is underway, with a host of celebrities (term used loosely) ready to leave it all on the floor this fall.
Which cast members are most likely to emerge with the coveted Mirrorball Trophy, and who is most likely to be the first one out?
We've ranked the new competitors below, using their first-week scores as well as historical data and intuition, to take our best guesses.
Do you agree? Here's our list of DWTS celebs beginning with the least likely to waltz away with the crown, and ending with the favorite(s) ...
Barbara Corcoran with Keo Motsepe
The Shark Tank star doesn't stand a chance this season, but she is having fun, and she ogled her partner, Keo Motsepe, so there was that. Her score of 14/30 is about what we'd expect throughout her (short) tenure.
Terrell Owens and Cheryl Burke
The former NFL star has met his match on Dancing with the Stars. He and Cheryl were fun together, but there was a complete lack of technique, and he'll need to work hard to build about his rough debut score of 15/30 if Owens hopes to join the list of athlete champions.
Debbie Gibson and Alan Bersten
Having battled Lyme Disease, Debbie had a poignant story and wants Dancing with the Stars to be her big comeback story. Unfortunately, fan support will only get you so far, and with a 17/30, she may face an early ouster even if the audience loves her.
Nick Lachey and Peta Murgatroyd
Okay, so Nick Lachey said he would never take part on the show, which his brother Drew won way back in the day, and here he is all these years later. He has his work cut out if he wants to match his sibling, at least based on his inaugural score of 18/30. Of course, with his pop star pedigree and looks (he has barely aged), Nick may yet rise to the occasion.
Drew Scott and Emma Slater
Drew may be good at working in property, but his dance skills are just not all that. His first performance was filled with critical errors that meant he and Emma managed just 16/30, but like Nick, if he lasts a couple of weeks and shows real improvement, he could build a sizable fan base.
Sasha Pieterse and Gleb Savchenko
Sasha struggled with nerves and her performance took a hit in the process. Unless she manages to overcome this in the coming weeks, she will face an early exit from DWTS. A score of 18 is not catastrophic, but it does mean she has very little room to fall in subsequent routines.
Derek Fisher and Sharna Burgess
Derek and Sharna were delightful to watch, with a score of 18/30 that left them in the middle of the pack. The former NBA star may have a high ceiling that makes his chances tough to handicap right now.
Victoria Arlen and Val Chmerkovskiy
Victoria has had the odds stacked against her; Arlen only recently regained the ability to walk again after losing the ability early in her life. Her performance with Val was solid - more than solid, given that backstory. While there's room for improvement, she is most definitely a solid competitor, and her score of 20/30 offers a nice starting point to build on.
Frankie Muniz and Witney Carson
Frankie was by no means the best dancer of the night, but there was a lot of potential in his performance. He is one who adapts well to feedback and Witney will do well to push him more. A score of 19/30 is decent for a first performance, and may be a sign of bigger things to come.
Nikki Bella and Artem Chigvintsev
Nikki knows how to move, and part of that can be attributed to her extensive career in wrestling. She and Artem were likable enough, but they need to bring their A-Game if they want to stay in the competition. They scored 20/30 in their first performance, so there's potential there.
Vanessa Lachey and Maksim Chmerkovskiy
Nick Lachey's wife Vanessa's first performance with Maksim was a success. They fit together like a glove and you would think they had been performing together for years, not just weeks. They scored 21, and we like their chances of making it far ... probably farther than Nick. Sorry man!
Jordan Fisher and Lindsay Arnold
We could sit here all day and argue about Jordan already having a career in the world of dance, and whether or not that's an unfair advantage, but there's no getting away from the fact that he is an excellent performer. Fisher and Lindsay Arnold secured a score of 22, which tied for first on the premiere and may be the start of a run to the Mirrorball.
Lindsey Stirling and Mark Ballas
Our co-frontrunner, Lindsey Stirling, turned in one of the finest performances of the night with Mark Ballas. They were electric and knew the right moves to get the judges to hand out the high scores (22/30). We could be looking at a two-horse race between Lindsey and Jordan, though we wouldn't rule out a dark horse like Vanessa either. What do you think?